Truce or Trap? Market Swings on Trump's Deadline & Crypto Mortgages | Money Moves
What a time to be an investor! On this episode of Money Moves, Matty A. and Ryan Breedwell dive into the massive market volatility driven by the escalating US-Iran conflict and President Trump's intense posturing. With an 8 PM deadline looming and futures swinging wildly on ceasefire rumors, Ryan breaks down how institutional money is playing the chaos—and why you should stick to your plan. Plus, they explore a groundbreaking new crypto-backed mortgage product and the growing distress in the commercial real estate market.
Episode Highlights
The Geopolitical Shockwaves: Ryan discusses the wild market swings, noting that despite the intense headlines and Trump's 8 PM deadline, he successfully bought the dip last Thursday right before a major market rally. They analyze the impact of "The Don" and his aggressive posturing on the world stage.
Oil, Inflation & The Fed: Despite the noise, oil prices are retracting, and Ryan predicts a sub-3% CPI report. They also discuss the future of interest rates, with Ryan firmly predicting a rate cut in July once the new Fed Chair is appointed.
Crypto Enters the Mortgage Market: Coinbase and Fannie Mae have partnered with Better Home and Finance to allow homebuyers to use Bitcoin and USDC as collateral for down payments, a major step for crypto integration in traditional finance.
- Commercial Real Estate Distress: CMBS distress debt rates have climbed to 12%, with delinquency cycles reaching 9.6%. Matty breaks down what this means for regional banks and commercial investors caught in the "messy middle" of maturing loans.
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